Franchise Update Magazine Issue I, 2012 | Page 40

Grow Market Lead Consumer data By Tom Epstein No Dips Behind Retail sales, gift cards finished strong in 2011 R etail sales are back! And gift card sales are leading the way. As of this writing, I still do not have all the holiday numbers— but what I have so far is looking very good for franchising. For the brands we work with, the overall sales increase was around 12 percent year over year. We saw a good Thanksgiving weekend, with sales up around 9 percent. Usually we see a dip after Thanksgiving weekend until the week or so before Christmas. This year we did not see any dip; sales just kept on going. From the numbers we are seeing, it was not so much that there were more sales transactions—it was more that the sales recorded were for higher dollar amounts. Compare this to what Target announced as a 1.6 percent increase in same-store sales over the holidays (driven more by grocery items than by electronics). And First Data Corp. (the largest processor of payments in the U.S.), in their SpendTrend indicator, reported an increase of 7.3 percent in same-store consumer spending. Combining this information, one could conclude that consumers preferred shopping at smaller businesses this year—which would seem to help franchisees, as most consumers view individual franchise locations as smaller, local businesses. Gift cards rock This trend was especially highlighted in the gift card sector. Note the increase in gift card dollar amounts this year over last in all sectors (see table). Factor in the accounting principles of gift card acceptance (that you do not 38 Franchiseupdate Iss u e I, 2 0 1 2 From the numbers we are seeing, it was not so much that there were more sales transactions—it was more that the sales recorded were for higher dollar amounts. Gift Card Sales Sector Fine dining restaurant Fast casual restaurant Quick service restaurant Coffee shop Specialty retail Department store Convenience store Entertainment 2010 $54 $33 $18 $21 $43 $46 $33 $31 2011 $69 $41 $21 $24 $52 $57 $52 $37 count a gift card sale as a sale on your books until it is redeemed), and this should lead to a good spring as consumers who received gift cards over the holidays begin to spend them. Mobile on the move Another trend we are seeing that seems to be helping traditional brick-andmortar merchants is the increased use of mobile technology. As a result of consumers being able to download apps to their phones that allow them to price-check items in a store against both brick-and-mortar competitors and online merchants, consumers can now make better decisions about whether or not it is worth their time and effort to drive to another store or go online and deal with the uncertainty of holiday shipping or just buy in the store they are in at the time. According to recent studies: • 29% of smartphone users look up products while in the aisles; • 45% of those compare prices with those at other stores; and • only 8% end up purchasing those same items elsewhere. Smart retailers are embracing mobile commerce to attract customers into their stores and keep them there. Card use trends Another interesting set of numbers I saw in a recent payment trade publication showed the overall percentage of card transactions worldwide (see table below). These trends are expected to continue, with Latin America and Asia gaining steam and reaching 10 and 20 percent of total worldwide card purchase volume, respectively, by 2015. This seems to support the strategy of many of our clients, who are looking for growth to continue to come from opening new locations outside the U.S. n Tom Epstein is CEO and founder of Franchise Payments Network, an electronic payments processing company dedicated exclusively to helping franchisors and their franchisees improve system performance, increase revenue, and reduce expenses. Contact him at 866-420-4613 x1103 or [email protected]. Card Transactions Worldwide Region United States Europe Asia/Pacific Canada Latin America Middle East/Africa % of total (2009) 48.8% 21.9% 15.5% 5.7% 6.6% 1.4% % of total (2011) 47.5% 22.7% 16.0% 5.5% 6.9% 1.5% Change (%) -1.3 +0.8 +0.5 -0.2 +0.3 +0.1