...............17.............
Flashmag February 2019 www.flashmag.net
. the so-called francophone Africa, are producing economic refugees
Freedom of movement is an intrinsic right of individuals, and freedom of establishment in a country is a right of States. The dilemma is that by restricting the freedom of movement too much, some are negatively affecting trade of all kinds between countries and of course they are creating more misery in the world. By limiting the possibilities of access to knowledge for young people in developing countries, the West is creating a situation that is detrimental both to the economies of the southern countries and to the countries of the northern hemisphere, which, with the palpable aging of their population by 2050 will be short of manpower. This situation is all the more disastrous as today's poor countries, especially with the influence of new partners such as China, are developing. and if by 2050 some southern countries reach the point of satiety that will ensure that these citizens stay rather in their country instead of seeking to immigrate to the West, it will be a great desolation for the Northern Hemisphere. Similarly, the bankruptcy of the retirement funds is announced by 2050 in the United States; because there will not be enough active population to allow the system to continue to function normally.
A recent United Nations study, "Replacement Migration", shows, in the case of France, that the pursuit of immigration by 100,000 migrants per year would be necessary to keep the labor force constant at its current level, but that three times more immigration would be necessary to limit to 3 the degradation of the ratio: population of 15 to 64 years versus population of 65 years and more, which is today at 3.5.
Is egoism, or even racism that underpins the restrictive migration policies towards the West, be effective enough to overcome the serious problems that will challenge Western society in the near future?
Hubert Marlin
Journalist
Sources: Jean-Pierre Guengant, "International Migration and Development: The New Paradigms", European Journal of International Migration, 1996 (12) 2, p. 105-119.
United Nations (2001). Replacement Migration: Is it a solution to declining and aging populations ?, ST / ESA / SER.A / 206, Sales No. E.01.XIII.19.
Georges Tapinos, "Globalization, Regional Integration, International Migration", in "International Migration in 2000", International Social Science Review, September 2000, No. 165, UNESCO / Erès, pp. 343-352.