FEAS Yearbook FEAS Yearbook 2013 | Page 34

FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES ANNUAL REPORT JUNE 2013 BELGRADE STOCK EXCHANGE status for the EU membership, with no date for beginning of negotiations, significant positive drive of this news lacked. Declining industrial production was mainly due to bad weather conditions and extremely low temperatures causing the problems in transport and electricity supply. Poor performance in agriculture is the main reason for the inflation which risen sharply into double digits. Credit rating downgrade by the Standard&Poor’s and change of outlooks from stable to negative by Fitch contributed to further depreciation of the local currency. In the second half of August came the ease to the depreciation pressures and dinar recovered due to the government moves (subsidized loans) and monetary policies measures. Changes to the regulations on reserve unleashed a portion of foreign exchange funds, though the first nine months saw a low level of bank lending with a high proportion of problematic loans to businesses and households in the total loans. These effects were immediately translated to currency movements and led to an appreciation in the last quarter. The region is still facing common problem of extremely low liquidity. Characteristic of low liquidity are significantly distorted prices of traded assets, and lack of confidence in market mechanism. Chronic lack of large institutional investors and their crucial role in providing liquidity and reducing volatility again brought under the spotlight the issue of closer cooperation and connectivity in the region. Though, making progress on the extensive structural reform agenda still remains essential for unlocking Serbia’s growth potential. Key macroeconomic indicators* Real GDP growth (in %) 1) Consumer prices (in %, relative to the same month a year earlier) 2) NBS foreign exchange reserves (in EUR million) Exports (in EUR million) 3)8) - growth rate in % compared to a year earlier Imports (in EUR million) 3)8) - growth rate in % compared to a year earlier Current account balance 4)8) (in EUR million) as % of GDP Unemployment according to the Survey (in %) 5) Wages (average for the period, in EUR) RS budget deficit/surplus (in % of GDP) 6) Consolidated fiscal result (in % of GDP) RS public debt, (external + internal, in % of GDP) 6)7) RSD/US$ exchange rate (average, in the period) RSD/US$ exchange rate (end of period) RSD/EUR exchange rate (average, in the period) RSD/EUR exchange rate (end of period) Memorandum GDP (in EUR million) *source: National Bank of Serbia 1) At constant prices of previous year. 2) Retail prices until 2006. 3) Trade with Montenegro is registered within relevant transactions as of 2003. 4) In accordance with BPM 5, a portion of estimated 2002 4,3 2003 2,5 2004 9,3 2005 5,4 2006 3,6 2007 5,4 2008 3,8 2009 -3,5 2010 1,0 2011 1,6 Q1 2012 -2,3 Q2 2012 -0,6 Q3 2012 -2,5 14,8 7,8 13,7 17,7 6,6 11,0 8,6 6,6 10,3 7,0 3,2 5,5 10,3 2.186 2.836 3.104 4.921 9.020 9.634 8.162 10.602 10.002 12.058 11.073 10.161 9.833 3.125 3.847 4.475 5.330 6.949 8.686 10.157 8.478 10.070 11.472 2.519 3.031 3.083 16,0 23,1 16,3 19,1 30,4 25,0 16,9 -16,5 18,8 13,9 -2,6 5,2 3,2 -6.387 -7.206 -9.543 -9.613 -11.971 -16.016 -18.843 -13.404 -14.643 -16.627 -4.042 -4.323 -4.235 27,2 12,8 32,4 0,7 24,5 33,8 17,7 -28,9 9,2 13,6 5,5 6,3 1,3 -671 -4,2 13,3 152,1 -4,3 -1,8 72,9 64,70 58,98 60,66 61,52 -1.347 -7,8 14,6 176,9 -2,6 -2,4 66,9 57,56 54,64 65,13 68,31 -2.620 -13,8 18,5 194,6 -0,3 0,8 55,3 58,44 57,94 72,70 78,89 -1.778 -2.356 -5.053 -7.054 -1.910 -1.887 -2.776 -8,8 -10,1 -17,7 -21,6 -6,6 -6,7 -8,9 20,8 20,9 18,1 13,6 16,1 19,2 23,0 210,4 259,5 347,6 402,4 337,9 330,1 372,5 0,3 -1,9 -1,7 -1,7 -3,4 -3,7 -4,2 0,9 -1,9 -2,0 -2,6 -4,5 -4,7 -5,0 52,2 37,7 31,5 29,2 34,7 44,5 48,7 66,90 67,01 58,39 55,76 67,47 77,91 73,34 72,22 59,98 53,73 62,90 66,73 79,28 80,87 83,00 84,10 79,96 81,44 93,95 103,04 101,95 85,50 79,00 79,24 88,60 95,89 105,50 104,64 8) As of 1 January 2010, the Statistical Office, according to UN recommendations, applies the general trade system which is a broader concept and includes all goods entering/exiting the country’s economic territory, apart from goods in transit. The Statistical Office published comparable data for 2007, 2008 and 2009. CONTACT INFORMATION PAGE 32 -738 -10,3 / 363,5 -7,2 -7,0 56,0 88,77 92,15 113,73 115,82 -546 -7,5 / 351,8 -4,0 -4,2 55,1 93,55 88,94 116,95 115,03 16.028 17.306 19.026 20.306 23.305 28.468 32.668 28.954 28.006 31.140 6.966 7.261 7.526 remittances was transferred from the financial account to the current account. 5) Source: Labour Force Survey, Statistical Office. 6) Source: MoF for public debt and NBS for estimated GDP. 7) Gouverment securities at nominal value. Key Information Contacts National Bank of Serbia www.nbs.rs Securities and Exchange Commission www.sec.gov.rs Central Securities Depository and Clearing House www.crhov.rs Ministry of Economy and Regional Development www.mfp.gov.rs/?change_lang=en Contact Name Ms. Marija Babic -1.177 -17,0 25,5 357,6 -7,1 -7,3 52,0 82,38 83,31 108,11 111,36 E-mail [email protected] Website www.belex.co.rs Previous years are disseminated under a special trade system. 9) NBS estimate. Notes: 1. Data are subject to corrections in line with the official data sources.