FEAS Yearbook FEAS Yearbook 2010 | Page 130

ANNUAL REPORT JUNE 2010 FEDERATION OF EURO-ASIAN STOCK EXCHANGES MONTENEGRO STOCK EXCHANGE ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS Political History On 21 May 2006 Montenegro organised a referendum on independence, in line with the provisions of Article 60 of the Constitutional Charter of Serbia and Montenegro. The modalities for referendum were agreed by political parties following a mediation mission of Mr Miroslav Lajcak, the personal representative of the High Representative for CFSP Javier Solana. The referendum was conducted in line with OSCE and Council of Europe commitments. On 31 May 2006 the Republic Referendum Commission confirmed the results, according to which 55.5% of voters expressed their support for independence. On 3 June 2006 the Montenegrin Parliament adopted the “Declaration of Independence”. Recognising legitimacy of the whole process the EU Council adopted on 12 June 2006 Conclusions where the EU and its Member States decided to develop further their relations with the Republic of Montenegro as a sovereign, independent state. In the Declaration of Independence, Montenegro confirmed that it applies and adheres to international treaties and agreements to which the State Union of Serbia and Montenegro was a party and which are relevant for Montenegro. Montenegro started the process of joining international organisations. In June 2006 it became a member of the UN and of the OSCE. In July and August it acceded to a number of organisations including ILO, ITU, ICRC et al. Since May 2007, Montenegro is also a member of the Council of Europe. Bilateral discussions on settling pending issues between Serbia and Montenegro are being held in a constructive atmosphere and agreements have been reached on key issues, notably on financial assets and membership in IFIs. induced a widening of the trade deficit to 62% of GDP. The stagnation on the domestic capital market resulted in a significant outflow of portfolio investments. Overall, the current account deficit widened, driven by a strong inflow of imports while its coverage by net FDI declined, increasing vulnerability to external shocks. Since independence Montenegro has been putting in place the legal and institutional set- up required by its new competences as an independent state. On 19 October 2007 Montenegro adopted a Constitution that is broadly in line with international standards and the recommendations of the Council of Europe and its Venice Commission. The Constitution was adopted by the Parliament with the required qualified majority. Montenegro unilaterally uses the Euro as legal tender, without participating in the Euro area. Consequently, its monetary policy is limited to operation of liquidity management. To counter the international financial crisis the Montenegrin authorities have taken a series of measures, including higher capital adequacy requirements for domestic banks, an unlimited coverage for deposits insurance as well as a guarantee scheme for intra- banking lending. Public Debt expanded to 33.6% of GDP in 2008, as the share of domestic debt rose in the total. Economic situation Economic growth remained strong in 2008, expanding well above 8% in real terms, boosted by strong inflows of FDI and robust domestic demand. Services, notably tourism, financial intermediation and real estate, remained the main driver of growth, generating some 70% of gross value added (GVA). Around 20% of total growth was attributable to industrial output and construction. On the demand side, consumption remained solid as retail sales grew by around 10% in real terms in 2008. Exports of goods decreased in 2008, reflecting the weak competitiveness of local products but also the volatile international price of aluminium, which accounts for almost half of total exports. FDI inflows combined with a robust domestic demand The WTO accession process will require further reforms. To that end the Montenegrin authorities established new centres for metrology, standardisation and intellectual property, which should also serve the purpose of alignment of Montenegro's foreign trade regime and customs policy with the EU requirements.* * Information provided by MSE. Key Information Contacts Securities Commission of Montenegro www.scmn.cg.yu Central Depository Agency www.cda.cg.yu Central Bank of Montenegro www.cb-cg.org Ministry of Finance www.ministarstvo-finansija.cg.yu Montenegro Statistical Office www.monstat.cg.yu GDP IN CURRENT PRICES (EUR billions) INFLATION (%) 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 02 PAGE 126 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09