Exhibition World Issue 1 – 2019 | Page 45

Cover feature said Larkin. “Maybe they booked 20 booths for a pavilion in the past, and they’re maybe booking 16 this year.” plummeting of the tradeshow industry during the last recession 2.5% an original expectation of tradeshows gain this year 1.5% current forecast growth of US tradeshows over the next 12 months “The tradeshow industry is especially susceptible to economic downturns, having plummeted almost 10% one year during the last recession, and show producers are hoping to stave off a repeat,” he stated. The lessons of the recession of a decade ago still remain in the mind clearly, as well as fears of what a deteriorating economy can mean for the tradeshow sector. “Recession has a huge impact on the industry,” said Allen Shaw, an economist with the Center for Exhibition Industry Research (CEIR). “Companies see exhibition costs as easier to cut than some other expenses.” A Boston seafood tradeshow was cited as an example of pull back by Chinese vendors due to protectionism concerns. The US seafood industry works on small margins, so vendors are feeling the current 10% tariff on imported Chinese seafood, said Mary Larkin, whose company, Diversified Communications, produces Seafood Expo North America in Boston, among other shows. Chinese vendors “book a little bit less space than they have in the past,” w w w.exhibitionworld.co.uk Reasons to be cheerful The CEIR index recently forecast US tradeshows should grow by 1.5% over the next 12 months, (down slightly from around 1.65% last year). Although a positive figure, it is down from an expectation of a 2.5% gain. The picture does not seem uniform across countries or sectors, which further complicates things. Organisers reported exhibitor sales for the IBS Builders Show in Las Vegas as strong, even if the National Association of Home Builders says the US housing market has softened in recent months. Sectors such as construction and heavy machinery, as well as the promotional products industry in the US are clearly examples of sectors doing well. Bob McLean of the Promotional Products Association International has said he expects his sector to grow 4% in 2019, on top of 5% growth in 2018, which may be good for industry confidence Stateside at least. The Consumer Technology Association also reported good attendance and exhibitor numbers at its giant CES electronics show in Las Vegas in January. And fresh findings from an AUMA survey show German companies prefer trade fairs to digital in terms of effective marketing. Big deals So, what of the big deals in the organiser world? CloserStill Media’s “Recession has a huge impact on the exhibition industry. Companies see exhibition costs as easier to cut than some other expenses” sale to Providence for £340m (US$431m) on 19 December 2018 and Mack Brooks’ acquisition by Reed Exhibitions for an estimated £200m (US$261m) are big portions of food for thought and would seem to illustrate the sector is increasingly of interest to private equity. Reed Exhibitions reportedly bid against a PE company to acquire Mack Brooks. UK, St Albans-based Mack Brooks Exhibitions features more than 30 B2B events in 14 countries and its flagship brands include EuroBLECH (sheet metal working technology); inter airport (airport infrastructure and technology); Fastener Fair (fastener and fixing technology); Chemspec (fine and speciality chemicals); RAILTEX (rail infrastructure and technology); ICE Europe (paper, film and foil converting); CCE (manufacturing and converting corrugated and cartonboard); PSE Europe (plastics) and InPrint (print technology for industrial manufacturing). A broad programme of geo-cloning has successfully positioned many of these brands outside Germany and the UK to include a presence today in France, Italy, the United States, Mexico, China, Singapore, Thailand, India and Turkey. Stephen Brooks, Chairman of Mack Brooks, said: “I am extremely positive about the future of Mack Brooks as part of Reed Exhibitions. Our events and customers will benefit tremendously from Reed Exhibitions’ global reach, experience in delivering customer value and investment in technology.” Chet Burchett, CEO of Reed Exhibitions, said the combination of the two businesses would, “deliver value for all stakeholders, including customers and staff”. M&A expert, Mayfield Merger Strategies’ Steve Monnington told EW he believed the Mack Brooks transaction was similar to the All World deal at the end of 2016 in that it is the sale of one of the few remaining long-term family owned businesses. Issue 1 2019 45