European Policy Analysis Volume 2, Number 1, Spring 2016 | Page 41

European Policy Analysis in the remit of individual member states. In general, pension policy—including tax treatment—counts among the latter. Yet in as much cross-border movements or substantial investment vehicles come into play, the former become ever more relevant. As will become apparent, some European actors actively try to frame the issue as one of consumer protection (falling under Article 153 of the Treaty of the European Union) in order to overcome this conflict. Ever since the World Bank’s (1994) report on “Averting the old age crisis,” complementing public pensions with capital-based occupational and/or private pensions has been the received wisdom of policymakers concerned with future pensioners’ living standards. Under pressure from demographics and globalization (as filtered by party competition), 1st pillar replacement rates1 have been cut throughout the developed world; the expansion of occupational and private schemes was noticeable, but more uneven (Ebbinghaus 2015; Wolf, Zohlnhöfer, and Wenzelburger 2014). Underperformance of the latter, 2nd and 3rd pillars, is especially dangerous for those earning less than average, or with working biographies interspersed with phases of unemployment.2 Since it is highly unlikely that they could afford to compensate for lower returns by increasing their contribution sustainedly,3 they are not only facing falling living standards, but straight-out poverty. Some studies suggest a need for doubling contributions for a 40-year old facing a drop of two percentage points in real interest.4 Providers of private pension plans—especially insurance corporations and pension funds—receive less public attention than banks; yet, they contain a similar amount of systemic risks for financial markets (cf., e.g., Shin 2013). The creation of EIOPA as one of the three new European supervisory authorities, which were part of the crisis-induced 2010 “supervision package” of EU legislation (Buckley and Howarth 2011), bears witness to European policymaker’s awareness of these risks. While the specific impact of EIOPA and her sisters, and foremost their mode of interaction with national institutions in member states, remained open at the time, there were already suspicions that the big players might be able to use at least parts of the rearranged playing field to their advantage (Buckley and Howarth 2011). Regarding occupational and private pension plans, 1 Replacement rates refer to the percentage of former earnings which pensioners receive once they retire. 2 Kluth and Gasche (2013) highlight how actual replacement rates for these workers are significantly lower than average figures for the so-called standard workers suggest. 3 According to Gunkel and Swyter (2011), marginal households in Germany have been quicker than those further up the earnings scale to ta ke up the tax subsidy for private (so-called Riester) pensions. Yet, Necker and Ziegelmeyer (2014) found that households taking a hit to their savings in the crisis were most likely to change their investment behavior afterward—toward safer products with even lower yields. 4 Minimum pensions have so far been adapted only in a small minority of OECD member states (cf. Wolf, Zohlnhöfer, and Wenzelburger 2014). 41