E- COPY (8-14) January 2018 cover pgg-compressed | Page 7

MONEY & CAPITAL Monday, January 8 - 14, 2018 7 Investors seek downward review of MPR in 2018 Stories by NIYI JACOBS Nigeria (ASHON) Patrick Ezeagu explained that one the major chal- lenges facing the market is how to ome financial analysts have restore investors' confidence. said that one of the key fac- “Government must pursue vig- tors that could help in orously the downward review of achieving sustainable market the MPR to stimulate investment, rebound in 2018 include the down- selling some percentage of priva- ward review of the Monetary Pol- tised national assets through the icy Rate (MPR). market and utilising the capital National Business notes market to raise funds for that after posting an outrageous infrastructural development pro- 26 per cent loss in 2016, the Nige- jects would engender fair valua- rian equities market gathered tion, transparency, accountability, strong momentum in 2017, with a integrity and greater participation year to date increase of N4.5 tril- of the average Nigerian investor.” lion in market capitalisation from A stockbroker with Delloit Secu- N9, 158 trillion at which it opened rities Limited, Tunde Oyediran, the year in January 3, 2017 to said; ''the market did excellently N13.609 trillion as at Friday, well last year, which could be December 29, 2017. attributable to right government Also, the Nigerian Stock policies and other positive macro- Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index economic indicators. (NSE ASI), rose by 30.4 per cent “For the year 2018 we expect during the year under review from improvement in market perfor- 26, 616.89 to 38,243.19. mance premised on further gains This was in spite of crises of in economic indicators, pre elec- confidence that rocked the mar- tion year, notwithstanding.” ket during the year under review. The President of the Chartered The crisis ranged from the case Institute of Stockbrokers (CIS), involving 300 investors of Part- Oluwaseyi Abe, also appealed to nership Investment Plc whose the Federal Government to con- stocks totalling N4.8 billion were sider the age-long plan to encour- involved in a 'shady' and Oando age multinational companies to list Plc. on the NSE in order to deepen the Also , there was allegation of market and enhance liquidity in fraud leveled against the Director- the medium and long term General (DG) of the Securities and He noted that the business ter- Exchange Commission (SEC), rain must be more investor- Mournir Gwarzo. friendly for Small and Medium Precisely, the Chairman, Asso- scale Enterprises to flourish, add- ciation of Stockbroking Houses of ing that the capital market must be S IMF, World Bank, CBN urged to canvass Braille signs in currency notes By TONY NWAKAEGHO T he International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), have been urged to canvass for the insertion of Braille signs on global currency notes. Braille is a form of written language for blind people, in which characters are represented by patterns of raised dots that are felt with the fingertips. Braille users could read computer screens and other electronic supports via refreshable braille displays available nowadays. The Monitoring Officer, Justice, Devel opment and Peace Centre (JDPC), Mr. Abiodun Abacha Adebesin, who made this call, explained that its high time global financial institutions consider adding Braille signs on our paper currencies in fulfilment of the one of the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of not leaving any one behind. Adebesin lamented that the blinds have been cheated on so many occasions because they rely on people to determine the denominations of the money they are holding and this is really saddening. “If this done by all financial institutions in the world with the support of IMF and world bank, this will be in line with agenda 2030 'Leave no one behind,” he said. SDG experts opined that inclusiveness speaks to the notion of empowerment and the principle of non-discrimination, which is reflected in the pledge to leave no one behind and in the vision of a “just, equitable, tolerant, open and socially inclusive world in which the needs of the most vulnerable are met” and “a world in which every country enjoys sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth and decent work for all.” This campaign is reflected both in goals and targets in the SDGs , including Goal 4, which refers to inclusive and equitable quality education; Goal 8, which refers to sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth; Goal 9, which refers to inclusive and sustainable industrialization; Goal 11, which refers to inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable cities and human settlements; and Goal 16, which refers to peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development and to accountable and inclusive institutions at all levels. This assertion of 'leave no one behind' further refers to the need to include everyone in societal processes, have a voice and effective opportunities to shape the course of development in all countries. developed to assist local entrepre- neurs grow their businesses. The President, Proactive Shareholders Association, Taiwo Oderinde, said: “The market started with mixed reactions from the stakeholders. The first quarter was bearish and the early part of second quarter too. The third quar- ter till date has been bullish with over N13 trillion total market capitalisation. “Investors are more cautious of picking their rights offers in the market. The present investors are investing based on the companies' results and fundamentals. “My advice is that government should come up with robust invest- ing friendly policies while the regu- lators must be more proactive with aggressive investors' education especially for the minority inves- tors to sustain recovery in 2018. “ But the market stakeholders however, maintained that a lot need to be done for the market to sustain the current momentum even in the 'peak' of elections. CBN, Braille, World Bank logos Portfolio investments record positive recovery as financial inflows rise 156% R enaissance Capital, an investment and research company in Lagos, has revealed that the foreign investment inflows into the country was more than doubled in Q3:17 to $4.1billion as against $1.6 billion a year earlier The resurgence in inflows, according to available data, was largely due to portfolio investment, which tripled to $2.8 billion with about 70 percent of the inflows going into the equity market. Other forms of investments, which mainly comprise loans, also saw strong growth of 125 percent year on year to $1.3 billion in the review quarter. However, foreign direct investment (FDI) dropped by two-thirds compared to a year earlier, to $118 million The recovery in foreign investment inflows began in Q1;17 after falling for nine consecutive quarters. Thereafter, foreign investment's year on year growth accelerated in subsequent quarters, rising 127 percent in Q3;17 to reach $4.1billion, the highest quarterly foreign investment since Q4;14. “We largely attribute this to the introduction of the Investors and Exporters FX window in April 2017, which at the time was the only window (outside the black market) to allow participants to transact at market-determined rates. “FX liquidity improved, as a result, enabling foreign investors to repatriate their income, which improved investor confidence. This partly explains the tripling of portfolio inflows to $2.8bn in Q3;17, in our view,” RenCap analysts said. They noted that of the total inflow for the quarter, 70 percent went into the equity market, which according to them, explains why the Nigeria Stock Exchange was up 25 percent year on year as of September 2017 as against a decline of 9 percent year on year earlier. Gaps in software laws, fragmented regulation seen downsides to self-driving finance Equally investments into money market instruments more than doubled in the review period to $720 million on the back of high yields. Conversely, FDI, which has been the smallest source of foreign investment in recent years dropped to its lowest level in Q3 2017 since the capital importation series began in 2014. It declined by two-thirds against a year earlier to $118 million. Historically, the oil and gas sector has been the largest FDI recipient. However, the stalling of the petroleum industry bill earlier this decade (an amended version was passed last year) saw investment fall, and the oil price collapse in late 2014 compounded the downturn. Specifically, investment in the sector picked up in 2016, making it the third-largest recipient of FDI and other investment. Flows slowed in 9M17. The third constituent of foreign investment, other investment, largely made up of loans, saw a strong 125 percent year on year increase in Q317 to $1.3 billion., which could be traced to a resurgence in Eurobond issuance by a couple of local banks. The Rencap analysts, however, see an improved FDI outlook in 2018 outlook. “We expect portfolio investment to continue to pick up in 2018 on the back of a more stable economy. However, its growth is likely to be slow in H218 owing to a high base effect and a likely increase in uncertainty ahead of the February 2019 elections,” they noted.