DRIAnnualReport 2015 | Page 4

Identifying the diverse sources of methane in shallow Arctic lakes R esearch on the changing ecology of thousands of shallow lakes on the North Slope of Alaska suggests that in scenarios of increasing global temperatures, methane-generating microbes (found in thawing lake sediments) may ramp up production of the potent greenhouse gas—which has a global warming potential 25 times greater than carbon dioxide. Five years of collaborative research, led by DRI’s Alison Murray, Ph.D., and Paula Matheus Carnevali, a doctoral student at DRI, found that the methane detected in lake sediments in this region can arise from both ancient thermogenic sources deep in the earth, or from shallow contemporary biological sources. The study marked an important step in recognizing that there are different methane sources in close proximity that may respond differently in the changing Alaskan Arctic ecosystems. RESEARCH STORIES FROM ACROSS THE INSTITUTE Volcanic eruptions that changed human history IT 4 is well known that large volcanic eruptions contribute to climate variability. However, quantifying these contributions has proven challenging due to inconsistencies in both historic atmospheric data observed in ice cores and corresponding temperature variations seen in climate proxies such as tree rings. A study published in the journal Nature in July 2015, led (or first authored) by Michael Sigl, Ph.D., an assistant research professor at DRI and doctoral fellow with the Paul Scherrer Institute in Switzerland, resolved these inconsistencies with a new reconstruction of the timing and associated radiative forcing of nearly 300 individual volcanic eruptions extending as far back as the early Roman period. The study showed that 15 of the 16 coldest summers recorded between 500 B.C. and 1,000 A.D. followed large volcanic eruptions—with four of the coldest occurring shortly after the largest volcanic events found on record. The reconciliation of ice-core records and other records of past environmental change is helping climate scientists and modelers around the world define the role that large climatic perturbations may have had in the rise and fall of civilizations throughout human history.