Diplomatist Magazine Diplomatist July 2018 | Page 41

SPOTLIGHT Prime Minister Narendra Modi has shown his political will to enhance India’s global engagements through frequent and sustained interactions with all global powers. The topmost priority has been accorded to Indo-US ties in terms of great power diplomacy. As the world's two largest democracies, India’s and America’s core security interests show far more signifi cant points of overlap than of divergence. American recognition of India as a ‘major defence partner’ can allow New Delhi to buy more advanced and sensitive technologies from Washington. The latest US offer to sell the armed version of Guardian drones to India is a case in point. If concluded successfully, it will be the fi rst time that the US would have sold a large armed drone to a country outside the NATO. Furthermore, the US supports India’s claim for a permanent seat at the UN Security Council and its entry into the NSG. Although India seeks to check Pakistani belligerence by leveraging the US in South Asia, and balance China’s growing infl uence by strengthening strategic cooperation with the US in the Indo-Pacifi c region, New Delhi has so far avoided being drawn into an alliance-like relationship with Washington. It is pertinent to mention here that the Asian continent has continued to witness strong tendencies towards multipolarity, and this is nothing new. The inherent multipolar tendencies in the region were demonstrated by the strategies adopted by India and China when they became independent. Beijing showed the capacity of non-commitment rather than accepting the constraining bipolar logic of the Cold War. After an initial alignment with the Soviet Union, China decided to break away and drew closer to the US. After the disintegration of the Soviet Union, when concerns about unipolarity rose, China opted to establish a partnership with Russia. On the other hand, India deviated from its ‘non-aligned’ stance to seek American military aid when China attacked India in 1962, and again when it built a de-facto alliance with Russia. Following the end of the Cold War, India began to forge a close partnership with the US, even as it sought proximity with Russia and China in the name of promoting multipolarity. In other words, even when aligned with one or the other superpower, both India and China have been averse to abandoning their strategic autonomy. As they become stronger and develop the capabilities to infl uence their environment in the Indo-Pacifi c region, India and China are more likely to emphasise their own independent role than to accept positions subordinate to other powers. This is why, despite being ‘a virtual American ally’, India is reluctant to become ‘a formal American ally’. And this reluctance stems from a long tradition in Indian foreign policy to maintain the independence of its strategic decision-making. India’s strategic response to China’s unprecedented rise is refl ected in its balancing strategy, as seen in its main strategic partnerships with the US, Japan and Russia. Though the Indo–US strategic partnership tops the list, India has also cultivated a ‘special and privileged partnership’ with Russia and a ‘strategic and global partnership’ with Japan. India recognises that Japan has much to offer as an ally because of its need to counter China’s growing regional dominance. Further, American President Donald Trump’s repeated use of the term ‘Indo-Pacifi c’ instead of ‘Asia-Pacifi c’ is a clear indicator that the Trump administration is keen to block China’s bid to dominate Asian geopolitics with India’s help. It is important to note, however, that the ramifi cations of closer interactions between India and the US, as well as the widening rift between the US and Russia, are being felt in India–Russia relations. How New Delhi and Washington relate to a power that the Indians perceive as friendly and cooperative but which the Americans see in a different light, has put India in a diffi cult position. Moscow remains New Delhi’s most important defence partner, and is perceived as India’s traditional friend. However, India’s growing defence ties with the US have led to a trust defi cit between India and Russia. India, however, continues to prominently fi gure in Russia’s geopolitical schemes as part of the RIC, BRICS and SCO. Between India and Russia, there are some specifi c areas of convergence and meeting of minds which can be witnessed on many issues. But areas of disagreement and the lack of robust civil society engagement are worrying signals. The consequences of Russia’s outreach to Pakistan have been both symbolic and substantive. Further, Moscow's slow but steady drift towards the strategic embrace of Beijing is detrimental for India. New Delhi’s diplomatic challenge, thus, lies in balancing India’s interests between the India–Russia– China triangle and the India-US-Japan-Australia maritime Quadrilateral. After their ‘informal summit’ in Sochi in May, Modi and President Putin provided guidelines for the development of a ‘special privileged strategic partnership’. The growing protectionism and unpredictability of the current US administration is a factor in India’s efforts to reset ties with Russia. While India continues to open up its defence market to Western suppliers, important purchases such as the acquisition of the S-400 missile defence system have been given a go ahead despite the threat of American sanctions under the ‘Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act’ (CAATSA). It indicates that India is not going to allow its defence engagement with Russia to be dictated by any other country. This should reassure Russia that it will remain India's biggest su pplier of military hardware for the foreseeable future. The growth of naval forces in the Indo-Pacifi c region has the potential to cause tensions, but they also provide opportunity for greater bilateral and multilateral cooperation in maritime security. For instance, the emergence of Indonesia as a strong partner for India augurs well for regional security. Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Diplomatist • Vol 6 • Issue 7 • July 2018, Noida • 41