Diplomatist Magazine Annual Edition 2018 | Page 66

Knowledge Partner Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary Diplomatist A ccording to the UN, "preven*ve diplomacy refers to diploma*c ac*on taken to prevent disputes from escala*ng into conflicts and to limit the spread of conflicts when they occur. While it is conducted in different forms and fora, both public and private, the most common expression of preven*ve diplomacy is found in the work of envoys dispatched to crisis areas to encourage dialogue, compromise and the peaceful resolu*on of tensions." The defini*on is good, but it is necessary to add that the mediator should be neutral. It is painfully obvious that preven*ve diplomacy whether prac*ced by UN or others has signally failed in the case of Syria. One can begin with briefly summing up the efforts undertaken and iden*fy the reasons for the lack of success so far. and the external powers suppor*ng them were serious about a nego*ated resolu*on of the crisis. Annan worked out a six-point plan that Syria agreed to albeit not without reserva*ons. Damascus had wanted to include in the plan the cessa*on of assistance to the opposi*on by external powers, but Annan did not agree. In March 2012, UNSC and Syria endorsed the plan. A ceasefire came into effect and in April 2012 the UNSC approved the crea*on of the UN Supervision Mission in Syria (UNSMIS) comprised of unarmed military personnel. In May 2012, over 100 people were killed near the town of Houla. The UNSMIS held pro- Assad forces responsible for it and in June 2012, suspended its opera*ons. Undeterred, Annan convened an Ac*on Group mee*ng in Beginnings and Geneva I The 22-member League of Arab States (LAS) was the first to apply preven*ve diplomacy. The LAS does not have a good track record of successful media*on and it was an ill-starred mission right from the start. Even before LAS entered as a mediator, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Bahrain had recalled their ambassadors from Damascus. The LAS made two aQempts. The Syrian government agreed to a package of measures proposed by LAS that included release of poli*cal prisoners and an end to violent ac*on against protesters. The LAS discon*nued its mission as it found that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad was not delivering on his part of the bargain. It suspended Syria’s membership and imposed sanc*ons. A second aQempt was made, and a military monitoring mission was sta*oned in Syria in December 2011. That was withdrawn in January 2012. By then, The 22-member League of Saudi Arabia and Qatar had begun Arab States (LAS) was the providing aid to the an*-Assad forces. first to apply preven@ve diplomacy. The LAS does not have a good track record of successful media@on and it was an ill-starred mission right from the start. Image 31:UN Secretary-General's Special Envoy for Syria, Staffan de Mistura The LAS mission was ill-starred also because a past animosity exists between Damascus and Riyadh. Furthermore, Riyadh and Doha had come to the wrong conclusion that Assad was on his way out and that all that was needed was a liQle push. The LAS and the West moved a UN Security Council (UNSC) resolu*on threatening sanc*ons and calling upon Assad to step down. Russia and China vetoed the resolu*on as they feared a repeat of the Libyan precedent in which the West had used an UNSC resolu*on to begin NATO bombing in Libya. Geneva, Switzerland, on 30 June, which later came to be known as the Geneva I Conference. The Ac*on Group iden*fied steps for the par*es to the conflict to take for ending it. The Final Communiqué of the Geneva I conference iden*fied the establishment of a transi*onal governing body exercising “full execu*ve powers,” which “could include members of the present government and the opposi*on and other groups and shall be formed on the basis of mutual consent.” The formula*on did not spell out whether or not Assad should exit. Annan had hoped that Russia and China on the one hand,