Digital edition (July 20) | Page 25

All of which would be bad news for the European Tour in particular and cast doubt on its ability to remain independent, risk being either taken over by the PGA TOUR, or vulnerable to a hostile approach from the Premier Golf League, which, like Coronavirus, has certainly not gone away or fall prey to one of the increasing number of private equity actors, such as CVC Capital Partners picking at the carcasses of struggling sports. Short-to-medium-term, the importance of the 43rd Ryder Cup proceeding as planned cannot be underestimated in the context of the European Tour’s ability to ride out the COVID-19 storm, which some observers – this one included – view as a �ght for independence and survival in its current form. An, ‘Away’ Ryder Cup is not as lucrative for the Wentworth-based circuit as one staged on European soil; the PGA of America is said to take a 5:1 share of pro�ts when the event is on US soil, but when the event is held in Europe, the Wentworth is entitled to 60% of the pro�ts, just under GBP25m (Approx. US$31m) from Paris 2018. Given the four-yearly cycle of the Ryder Cup on which the very �nancial foundations of the European Tour are built, there’s one-year of ‘Feast,’ a ‘Home’ Ryder Cup, two of ‘Famine,’ two fallow years with no Ryder Cup whatsoever (when heavy losses are incurred) and one year of banking a �fth of the pro�ts generated by a USbased Ryder Cup. According to its of�cial accounts, the European Tour Group, including Ryder Cup Europe, its majority-owned trading vehicle for all matters Ryder Cup reported a loss of £10.37m in 2017, when Ryder Cup revenues would have been at a four-year low, compared to a pro�t of £11.6m in 2018, when the rewards of the Ryder Cup in France would be included. And, whilst not exactly awash with liquidity, the European Tour sits on substantial cash reserves, £22.7m in 2018 - down £1.9m on the previous year - and it is likely those cash reserves will have been signi�cantly eroded once 2019 / 2020 of�cial accounts are �led, re�ecting the loss of bread-and-butter tournament income and an ever increasing reliance on internal funding for ever more tournaments. Substantially higher costs and signi�cantly lower revenues, never a good look, a recipe for rationalisation and restructuring. Hefty �xed costs, not the least of which, a wage bill for its 270-odd employees – estimated between £15m - £20m annually - won’t help either, job losses in a slimmed down organisation a distinct possibility. But, for the avoidance of doubt, the Wentworthbased out�t is not going under anytime soon. However, for an organisation planning for its Golden Jubilee in 2022, these are treacherous times, senior leadership trying to navigate a steady course towards calmer waters. But, the loss of tournaments – some of which it would not be unreasonable to speculate may never return – together with a sports sponsorship market already in decline before COVID-19 came along, with many economists suggesting the 2008 �nancial crisis was modest compared to a deep and lasting recession following in the footsteps of the pandemic, the commercial future of golf in general and the European Tour in particular looks far from rosy. Add into the mix a gradual but inexorable decline in playing and watching golf over recent years, the inevitable transatlantic migration of the European Tour’s top talent, things down Wentworth way may well get somewhat worse before they see a chink of light at the end of a very long, dark tunnel. Postponement / cancellation of the Ryder Cup could represent the genesis of a ‘Perfect storm’ from which it would take time, investment, imagination and a large slice of luck if the European Tour was to emerge intact and unscathed, qualities not typically found in abundance down Wentworth way. Meanwhile, closer to home, the Asian Tour may – perversely – �nd itself least affected by the Coronavirus crisis, with several factors going in its favour. First, the Singapore-based out�t is – by necessity – leaner and meaner than its larger rivals, carrying a fraction of the �xed costs – especially headcount – and overheads of the larger circuits, running a tight ship by comparison, and, second, mainly for reasons of climate, there is traditionally a summertime hiatus on Asian Tour, meaning it has only lost around half-a-dozen events. And �nally, because Asia in general, and especially South Korea and China were �rst into - and out of - COVID-19 crisis mode, the Asian Tour may be ahead of the curve in reclaiming lost ground, and, in seeking sponsorships in the highsix and low-seven-�gure sums, in the new post- Coronavirus economic landscape. Never mind sport, or indeed golf, life itself has been changed - and beyond all recognition – by COVID-19, socially, economically and culturally both during and after the pandemic and how the royal and ancient game – elite and recreational – embraces change and adapts to the, ‘New normal’ will inevitably de�ne golf for a generation and more. So, watch this space, and hold onto your hats – there could be testing, turbulent and tempestuous times ahead. GolfPlus JULY 2020 25