December 2018 December 2018 | Page 32

GOLF CARTS, THINK LOW SPEED VEHICLES GOLF SCHMARTZ The history of the golf cart is a story of a product lounging for decades in the shadow of the automo- bile as a benign niche product that putts around golf courses mostly on weekends. While the origins of the golf cart appear to be in dispute, the small, motorized caddies that blossomed in popularity in the 1950s has lounged, historically, as a novelty item just waiting for its chance to hit the big time. We won’t dispute the origins here, but we can review the argument. Some say the golf cart originat- ed as a battery-powered vehicle designed for golf courses in the early 1930s, specifically 1932 “when the first custom-made golf cart hit a golf course in Texarkana, Texas/Arkansas,” according to Nerds Magazine. Others point to the 1950s when the game itself and the gas-powered carts began to rise in popularity. HOLIDAY GIFT IDEAS - EXCLUSIVE DESIGN T-SHIRTS, COFFEE MUGS, AND HATS Interestingly, it is said that in the 1930s no self-re- specting golfer would dare to be seen in a loud, annoying golf cart – giving up the healthy walk through the course and the human caddy that went with it. At first, golf carts were relegated to the disabled golfer, which puts it in the category of a niche within a niche. Nobody had a use for them except golfers and no golfers had a use for them except disabled golfers. That limited the target audience considerably. Fast forward to 2018, however, and market anal- ysis points to a product poised for prime time but still waiting for the starter’s pistol to send manu- facturing into a sprint. Among the more optimistic analysis, Allied Mar- ket Research claims the golf cart industry will climb to a value of $2.59 billion by 2023 with growth clipping along at a CAGR of 7.2 percent from 2017 to 2023. IBIS World, on the other hand, has posted one of the more conservative estimates, pointing to an expected annual growth rate of 3.1 percent, starting with revenues of about $1 billion in an 32 WWW.GOLFCAROPTIONS.COM industry that currently employs a relatively small workforce of 2,587 people. The Game of Golf is Declining One threat that Ibis World is taking seriously is the current decline of the game of golf. At a glance, that decline seems palpable, but it may also be the case of the boy who cried wolf – that boy being the National Golf Foundation itself. By their numbers, the National Golf Foundation says there were less than 500 golf courses built from 2005 to 2015 and that the number of cours- es closing is now out pacing those being built. This seems all the more alarming when com- pared to the decade of 1995 to 2005 when close to 5,000 golf courses were constructed. Industry experts now point to “the perfect storm,” and look for clues that indicate why the game is in decline and why the golf cart industry will stumble with it. People don’t have time for golf anymore and membership prices are too high,