CPABC Industry Update Summer 2015 - BC Real Estate Industry | Page 20

ing the Mar ket? Driv o’s Wh Market Implications of Foreign Buyers By Cameron Muir and Brendon Ogmundson H ousing affordability has long been a thorn in the side of the Metro Vancouver story. Indeed, the rapid acceleration in home prices that occurred during the 2002-2008 period still has many people gobsmacked. Recent news stories have focused on the foreign buyer segment of the market, concluding that foreign investors are unduly inflating home values and driving potential domestic buyers out of the housing market, especially those looking to purchase their first home. However, data and analyses from a number of sources suggest that foreign investment is insufficient on its own to page 20 | impact a market as large and diverse as Metro Vancouver, save for a small segment of luxury homes. In addition, significant upward pressure on singledetached home values is largely driven by land scarcity and densification policies in the metro region. These efforts have achieved relative stability in the values of apartments and townhouses that now comprise twothirds of the housing stock. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) finds that while no hard data exists on the number of foreign buyers in the Metro Vancouver housing market, the available data and analysis on the housing stock and I N D U S T R Y U P D AT E flow of residential transactions in the region suggest that foreign ownership of housing is considerably less than five per cent of the housing stock and not more than five per cent of sales activity. The proportion of vacant dwellings, as well as the proportion occupied by foreign and/or temporary residents in the Vancouver Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) during the 2011 Census, did not diverge significantly from other large Canadian or provincial urban centres. Domestic investors are three to four times more active in the region’s housing market than foreign