5 million more visitors in 2022 than in 2016 , dominated by Canada ’ s 4.2 million additional visitors , which projects to 23.5 million by the end of 2022 . Visitor volume from Mexico should grow by about 800,000 visitors , reflecting only modest annual growth following the 2017 decline .
Europe By the end of 2022 , arrivals from Europe are projected to be 16.9 million , or 15 percent higher than the 2016 volume . The largest volume growth from Europe will come from France ( 333,000 ), the United Kingdom ( 320,000 ), Italy ( 212,000 ), Germany ( 168,000 ) and Ireland ( 122,000 ).
These forecasts mostly reflect lowgrowth rates based on large traveler volume bases . Ireland , which projected to have a European-leading 4.1 percent increase , is the exception . Western Europe countries are expected to produce 1.9 million additional travelers over the forecast period , compared to 268,000 additional travelers from Eastern Europe countries . of additional travelers for the next several years , and its contribution to arrivals ’ growth is upgraded slightly in this forecast . By 2022 South America will generate 856,000 more visitors , a 16 percent increase compared to 2016 . Visitation from Brazil , the largest source market in the region ( 1.7 million in 2016 ), is expected to rebound beginning in 2018 , following an 11 percent decline in 2017 and a 24 percent decline in 2016 . The country is forecast to have a net gain of 70,000 visitors over the forecast period .
Argentina , Colombia and Venezuela — ranked 13th , 14th and 17th , respectively — were all moving up the list a few years ago but are now countries on different paths . Colombia should reverse its losses of 2015 , 2016 and ( expected ) 2017 and resume its prior growth performances and produce an increase of 74,000 visitors ( 9 %). Argentina should rebound from its 16 percent decline in 2017 and manage net growth of 29,000 by the end of the forecast period .
Venezuela ’ s reversal in outlook two years ago remains one of the most dramatic among top origin countries . The long-term hopes for this highperforming country over the past decade were replaced by a forecast two years ago calling for sobering net losses of visitors . This forecast update continues the negative outlook and projects an additional decline of 192,000 ( 33 %) through 2022 .
For more information on the NTTO Travel Forecast , including data tables for the world regions and the top 21 visitor origin countries , visit travel . trade . gov / view / f-2000-99-001 / index . html .
About NTTO
The National Travel and Tourism Office of the U . S . Department of Commerce International Trade Administration manages the Travel and Tourism Statistical System for the U . S . For more information and the latest data , market research , news releases and policy information , visit travel . trade . gov .
Asia-Pacific This region is expected to produce a 30 percent increase in visitors by 2022 . Japan , the largest Asian market and second-largest overseas market , is forecast to have a small increase in visitor volume in 2022 compared to 2016 ; however , an expected 2022 volume of 3.8 million will remain well below the 1997 record level of 5.4 million .
Conversely , high growth rates and large growth volumes are expected for other top Asia-Pacific countries . China is expected to increase by a total of 1.7 million visitors , a 57 percent increase through 2022 , and to produce the second-largest number of additional visitors , behind only Canada . Additionally , China is expected to become the top overseas origin market , and third overall , by the end of 2022 . South Korea is forecast to produce 913,000 additional visitors ( up 46 %). Australia dominates the Oceania sub-region and should produce an additional 228,000 visitors ( up 17 %).
South America South America will remain an important source
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