Connection Summer 2018 | Page 33

NEWS SUPPLY Rising steel prices and what they mean for agricultural producers I By Austin Travis f there is one constant in the agriculture industry, it’s that nothing ever stays the same. Between fluctuating market prices, drought, pestilence, hurricanes and Washington’s politics, there is always something. It appears that the current obstacle is rising steel prices because of the recently implemented steel and alumi- num tariffs. The U.S. has placed various tariffs on many of our trade partners for years. But because of NAFTA and the U.S. relationship with the EU, historically members have been exempted or placed under less stringent requirements. However, this second round of tariffs, as Parkin and Hodari of The Wall Street Journal reported means, “… the U.S. would impose duties of 25% on steel and 10% on alumi- num from Canada, Mexico and the European Union starting Friday [June 1].” The EU and U.S. neighbors were both given temporary exemptions, but as trade talks broke down the waivers were rescind- ed. As ABC News reported, quoting Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, “the previous extension for Canada and Mexico was spe cifi- cally due to ongoing NAFTA talks, but ‘those talks had been taking longer than we had hoped’ and there’s no longer a precise date of when a deal may be reached.” Unfortunately, according to Robin Bhar of the French bank Société Générale, “The countries targeted accounted for around 40% of U.S. steel imports in 2017, [with] Canada supplying 16%, the EU 15% and Mexico 9%.” As raw products are taking the hardest hit by these new tariffs, our domestic producers will be hit the hardest. But it extends past imported steel. Since January 1, steel prices have seen a 20 percent to 40 percent increase. This has caused domestic steel demand to skyrocket, but supply has changed very little as a result of our steel mills not being able to keep up. There has been some growth in domestic steel mills lately as a result of closed mills reopening their doors because of the increased demand. Unfortu- nately, it still is not enough to keep up with the needs. In short, both foreign and domestic steel are now much more expensive than they were this time last year. You may be wondering how all of this will impact you as an ag- ricultural producer. The short answer — prices will continue to rise. Wire rod, zinc and many other raw materials are in very short sup- ply. Pearson products — t-posts, gates, panels, wire, disc and sickle blades, sweeps, bearings, etc. — are experiencing price increases. In essence, if it’s made of steel or aluminum, the price will be going up as new inventory arrives. The price increase will most likely continue until the markets are able to correct themselves or until producers begin importing finished products that are not impacted to the same extent by the tariffs. Jefferies LLC, an investment firm headquartered in New York said it “expected domestic producers to raise prices, but that could in turn eventually make it economical to start importing again.” On the other hand, it is very possible that these increases could last. There is no definitive end in sight, and any reports to the contrary are just speculation. United Ag is doing everything possible to work with suppliers to stay ahead of price increases resulting from the steel and alu- minum tariffs. In a time when margins are tighter than ever and input cost savings are crucial, we understand the need to mini- mize potential damage to the bottom line. We are doing our best to reduce the negative effect on retail prices. Although we cannot predict the future or prevent the undesirable effects of legislation, we can work closely with our providers and ensure that we are operating as liaisons between manufacturers and our producers to determine the best course of action we can take to most benefit our members and patrons. 33