Connection Summer 2014 | Page 8

GRAIN RECAPS Ready for harvest Preparation key to efficient grain handling i milo to corn and/or cotton. By Lindsey Bowers t looks like once again this year, a timely rain gave our crops the hope we needed. Most of the corn and milo is drying down. Harvest is truly right around the corner. The grain department is in full swing making preparations for a proficient harvest. We would like to thank those of you who returned the planted acres survey. The information from these surveys will be used to prepare delivery sheets to ensure your grain is being correctly and quickly identified at the elevator. The surveys are also used to make logistical decisions at harvest to guarantee we maintain adequate space for the anticipated acres left to harvest. This year’s surveys estimate that we will see 58 percent corn, 32 percent milo, and 10 percent soybeans in our growing area. The soybean acres are up from previous years and we continue to see a gradual shift from The surveys are also used to indicate the size of the marketing pool. At a 90 bushel average, we believe the pool is currently 75 percent hedged with futures at a minimum price of $4.53 per bushel. Of this coverage, 50 percent is with strictly short futures and 25 percent is with puts. The puts allow us to capture any ups in the market. At this time, there are no sales recorded for the marketing pool. We are continuing to make improvements to the software and are currently operating in what is considered “live” mode for all four elevators. This means once a truck has weighed out, the ticket is available for immediate viewing at our offices. We are currently in the process of getting “live” load summary sheets available for you to view online and plan on this being completed before harvest. We have had many customers take advantage of setting up their accounts to receive scale tickets and contracts by email. Please feel free to contact us if you are interested in this service. Customers who have previously used our dispatch service should have heard from us. We plan on uploading maps to correspond with your delivery sheets. Therefore, during harvest once you tell dispatch the farm number, the map will generate for that specific farm number. We are hoping that this creates efficiency with our dispatching process that flows through to the scale at the elevator. If you haven’t heard from us and plan to use our dispatch office, please contact Stacy in Danevang. CHARTS GRAIN Keeping track of markets As harvest nears, it is even more critical to implement your marketing plan. We have many producers who have started contracting and managing price risk in several different ways. The coop offers all of the basic contracts, including the ability to participate in options. Please visit with Haley or Lindsey about developing a marketing plan that fits your operation. USDA estimates not always reliable prediction Courtesy of Advance Trading s orghum acreage nationwide was increased 790,000 acres since the March 31 Planting intentions report to 7.47 million acres, an increase of 12 percent. Net from last year, milo acreage nationwide is down 590,000 acres, but many feel USDA is low on its number. Much of the increase in acres came from areas of the Western HRW belt where drought out wheat received late rains and were planted into milo. Western Texas, Ks and Ok have all seen an increase in milo acreage replacing the abandoned/drought out wheat acreage. Texas milo acres 8 are actually projected to be unchanged from last year at 3 million acres. Many in the trade feel even this increase in acreage is still understated and we will see some relevant increases in coming reports. See chart at right. USDA also reduced the abandonment and therefore raised the harvested acreage on milo for this year resulting in a huge increase in production. Based off of a 67 bpa trend line yield, and using a 14.4 percent abandonment rate or reduction in harvested versus planted acreage, net increase in production for US milo came out to over 45 million bushels, more than twice the current projected carryout for the 2013/14 crop year. Based on USDA trend line yields and current USDA usage estimates, carryout for new crop milo could reach a staggering 93 mbu w