Clearview National August 2015 - Issue 165 | Page 88

businessnews Eurozone issues concerning UK manufacturers »»The latest CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI has reported a slowdown in growth, the lowest growth since early 2013. KPMG’s UK Head of Industrial Manufacturing, Stephen Cooper, said: “This slowdown in UK manufacturing growth is disappointing, considering the recent steady improvements in previous months of this year. The strengthening of the pound relative to the Euro, while good for summer holiday travellers, will not be good for UK manufacturers as it makes UK manufactured goods more expensive for those who import them. As 40% of UK exports are still exported to the Eurozone, any disturbance downwards in that market will impact negatively on UK manufacturing. “Interestingly the Eurozone has shown positive results in the past month where growth was registered in all countries except Greece. This may change in next month’s Eurozone PMI if the uncertainty in the Eurozone with the current unresolved Greek debt issue continues. “The largest global manufacturing countries of China and the USA have also shown a continued contraction in manufacturing over recent months due to weaker export demand for both countries goods. This, combined with the Eurozone issue, does not give a good signal for the coming months for global manufacturing, and UK manufactures will be watching events closely.” Still feeling the Impact According to Glenigan, UK construction continues to feel the impact of the general election as activity drops for the third consecutive month. »»The Glenigan Index for last month, which covered the value of projects starting on site during the three months to June, declined by 24% year on year as housebuilding, office, retail and civil engineering activity contracted sharply. The fall was prompted both by decisions on government funded projects being postponed in the immediate run-up to the election and by private developers delaying project starts until the political outlook was clearer. Civil engineering projects saw the sharpest decline, plummeting by 46% against a strong performance in the second quarter of 2014. Non-residential starts also contracted sharply, being 20% lower than a year ago. Government funded areas also declined dropping by 14% and 25% respectively. 88 » AUG 2015 » CL EARVI E W- UK . C O M Commenting on last month’s figures, Allan Wilén, Economics Director at Glenigan, said: “Pre-election jitters continued to dampen project starts in the immediate aftermath of the election. The dip in project starts will hold back the pace of output growth this year. However the election result has reduced political uncertainty in the near term and we anticipate a bounce back in private sector project starts over the coming months as investor confidence returns.” Residential project starts also declined, dropping by 18% due to falls in both private housing and social housing projects starting on site. The drop in private housing starts is in sharp contrast to the positive trend seen over the last two years, and has largely offset the surge in project starts recorded during the first quarter of 2015. The decline in social housing starts was anticipated following ‘anticipate a bounce back in private sector project starts over the coming months’ the tightening in funding for registered landlords. Source: Glenigan