Captive Insight Vol I | Page 10

CAPTIVEINSIGHT require detailed disclosure documents. Also as private placements, the role of capital markets intermediaries is significant. Obviously all of this adds cost to the transactions which translates to higher premiums for the cedants. Some of the earliest transactions were for one year only. The move to multi-year transactions obviously produced savings by spreading these costs over a number of years. In 1997, Parametric Re issued ten-year bonds, but that was not replicated by other issuers. The term of cat bonds is now commonly set at three years, with a potential extension period for trigger events. The introduction of shelf programs, designed to facilitate consecutive issuances of bonds by one issuer, also introduced economies, and the opportunity for branding. Expanding the Remit Turning to the underlying risks and their measurement, we see some of the most interesting innovations to date. A significant attraction of cat bonds to cedants is the availability of multi-year, fully collateralised reinsurance. Traditionally, the risks have been short-tail, that is property loss and damage arising from a catastrophic event such as a hurricane or an earthquake. Initially, the reinsurance coverage was indemnity based. Property claims usually can be measured relatively quickly, so both the cedant and the investor know where they stand. Advances in risk modelling have played a huge role in the growth of the cat bond market. While we have more recently seen a reversion to indemnity triggers, it has been possible to structure transactions to include modelled loss, industry 10 loss index, parametric and parametric index triggers. Amongst other factors, the trigger type influences the transaction tail, which is important to the liquidity requirements of investors. It also facilitates earlier settlement for the cedant. Trigger Types Indemnity: impairment of the notes is triggered by the issuer’s actual losses, so the cedant is indemnified, as if they had purchased traditional catastrophe reinsurance. The trigger is directly correlated to the actual losses of the cedant. Modelled loss: an exposure portfolio is constructed for use with catastrophe modelling software, and then when there is a large event, the event parameters are run against the exposure database in the model. If the modelled losses exceed a pre-determined threshold, the bond is triggered. The trigger is highly correlated to the actual losses of the cedant. Indexed to industry loss: impairment of the notes is triggered when the insurance industry loss, as determined by a select recognised agency, exceeds a pre-determined threshold. Modified index: the insurance industry loss calculation is customised to reflect the cedant’s insurance portfolio by weighting the index results for various territories and lines of business. Parametric: the trigger is indexed to the natural hazard caused by nature, for example wind speed for a hurricane bond or ground acceleration for an earthquake bond. Data for this parameter is collected at multiple reporting stations and then entered into pre-determined formulae, which determine whether the threshold for triggering impairment of the notes has been exceeded. This trigger has the lowest correlation to the cedant’s actual losses, presenting the investor with basis risk, for which the cedant will pay a higher premium. Parametric index: To lower basis risk and increase transparency, a hybrid of the Parametric/Modelled trigger may be adopted, whereby the model approximates losses as a function of the parameter and produces a pay-out function for the bond. image © photo4luck - Fotolia.com “ here now exists a number of catastrophe modelling agencies, T providing output for use not only by insurers/reinsurers but by governments, corporations and investors to guide their decision-making in relation to catastrophic risks.”