Business Marketing Magazine Summer 2017 January 2016 Creating Clear Businesses | Page 38
Investment
EF Moody
How to Make a Killing
with Bonds and Target Date Funds in 2016
35
O.K. I lied. But at least I got your attention to
review what I believe to be very risky
allocations.
You need to look at
the graph to make
my points clear. In
less than one minute
you will understand
how bond funds
change in value. You will become incredibly
impressive at social functions with friends,
neighbors, large plants. American consumers rarely grasp this fundamental.
Assume you bought a bond at point A for
$1,000. The yield on the bond is 5%. Several years later you want to sell at point B
where current rates are 15%. Buyers would
pay you less than $1,000 (discount) simply
because your bond’s yield is lower. Now
assume you bought a bond at point B yieldwww.businessmarketingmag.com
ing 15%. You then want to sell it at point
C where the current bonds are earning far
less- say 3%. You would be paid more than
$1,000 (premium) due to your higher interest rate. Bet you understood that. Don’t ever
forget it since you may be going through it
several times in your lifetime.
But the reality is that line A/B will apply for
many years since rates had been intentionally driven down to nothing by Bernanke
when the FED flooded America with money
(Quantitative Easing}. Trillions of dollars to
help stem the greed and idiocy of corporate
America (and Americans) that resulted in
the Great Recession. But rates can only go
to zero. (Another lie- some countries offer
negative rates. Prevalent in Europe). However when the floor is finall H