Briefing Papers Number 8, November 2009 | Page 7

USAID has been fortunate that NGOs and, to a large extent so far, private contractors, have been staffed with people dedicated to development who have been able to partially compensate for the lack of technical competence within USAID. Given the large pool of expertise outside the agency, one might explore options for moving such people into and out of government service on an expedited basis. But without the long-term, in-house technical capacity to plan and oversee grants and contracts, including rigorous evaluation and application of lessons learned, it is only a matter of time before the work quality of outside contractors declines radically. Conclusion Programs concentrating on improving nutrition, health, and education in poor communities all make people more productive. So they will be looking for work. It will be critical to have plans and resources in place to create jobs. Without the jobs created by broad-based, agriculture-driven rural growth, there is a danger that t he social programs will create large numbers of healthy, educated, but unemployed young people—a major source of instability—and will not be sustainable without continued donor funding. The needed changes in operating procedure are to focus on aggregate national improvement in agricultural growth rates, poverty reduction, women’s participation, and food security. Such a turn away from individual small projects requires changes in the measures of project success. The other basic change is to recognize that well-performing public institutions to complement private sector efforts are essential. Most, if not all, aid projects should aim at leaving behind a well-operating national system. These changes are complex and could be difficult. They will require top management to fully understand the issues and needs and then focus single-mindedly on achieving the necessary changes. wheat (for domestic consumption). The Master Plan for Agriculture specified six horticultural crops (almonds, grapes, raisons, apricots, pomegranates and pistachios) that represent the bulk of an already large horticulture output and which can readily achieve an eight percent growth rate given the vibrant regional markets (e.g. India) in which Afghan products have a very positive consumer identity. Wheat has a large base of production and short term potential for a doubling of yields. The livestock sector, in addition, has the potential to serve a growing domestic market. Such a focus on the relative importance of current production and potential growth provides the commodity priorities for an initial allocation of research, extension, credit and infrastructure investments. This kind of commodity focus has not been coherently and consistently pursued. 5 A highly productive partnership between USAID, and the Rockefeller and Ford Foundations during the 1950s and 60s gave India a premier agricultural educational and research system. USAID allocated large sums to develop agricultural universities. These universities then provided the staff for the rapidly growing public institutions with which Rockefeller collaborated—collaboration which resulted in high-yielding corn, wheat and sorghum varieties. Significantly, the Foundation never hired Indian researchers on its staff. Instead, it worked with them in their national institutions, offering incentives in the form of scholarships and field allowances. The result was a national research and educational capacity that continued after the foreign aid left. Ford Foundation did similar work developing the extension system, using USAID-financed personnel at the agricultural universities. Rockefeller research results went out through those extension systems. 6 While he was still president of Taiwan, Teng-hui Lee, in a speech at Cornell University, was unstinting in giving major credit to the United States for the huge success in Taiwan’s agriculture as the foundation of its takeoff into economic growth. None of this happens now. Endnotes 1 John Mellor is former Director-General of the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), Chief Economist at USAID and Professor, Cornell University. I am most grateful to Bread for the World Institute staff and associates for their comments and suggestions. 2 The de-emphasis on country level strategic planning reached its culmination in a recent directive for USAID field staff to refrain from development-specific strategic thinking altogether. 3 The 2006 DAC Peer Review of U.S. development cooperation policies and programs (http://www.oecd.org/document/27/0,3343, en_2649_34603_37829787_1_1_1_1,00.html). 4 As an example, Afghanistan can readily achieve this growth rate based on a combination of high value horticulture (largely for export) and www.bread.org Bread for the World Institute  7