Briefing Papers Number 11, January 2011 | Page 5

The North American Free Trade Agreement The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was conceived and negotiated during the late 1980s and early 1990s in an era of expanding trade blocs, most notably the European Union. In North America, NAFTA built on the 1988 Canada-United States Free Trade Agreement.1 NAFTA was pursued in both the United States and Mexico but was particularly promoted by Mexican President Carlos Salinas.2 Salinas pursued NAFTA as part of a development plan that aimed to lift the country into the ranks of the industrialized world by increasing foreign investment and trade. After suffering economic turmoil during the 1980s, Mexican policymakers also hoped that NAFTA would create jobs, increase wages, and reduce poverty. Mexico’s desire to emulate the rapid development of Spain within the European Common Market also influenced its decision to join an international trading bloc.3 But since it was implemented in 1994, assessments of NAFTA’s impact on the Mexican economy vary. 4 www.bread.org Andrew Wainer ation program that would slow immigration. But NAFTA’s policies reinforced support for large, export-oriented producers at the cost of small farmers, and rural employment continued to diminish. Between 1991 and 2007 Mexico lost 20 percent (2.1 million) of its agricultural jobs. The loss of rural jobs and the inability to generate income impacted family farms in particular: non-salaried agricultural family employment declined 58 percent between 1991 and 2007. Many of these displaced farmers ended up in the United States, sometimes working in U.S. agriculture as field laborers.34 After NAFTA, the operation of the Mexican small family farm became the vocation of older Mexicans, while youth migrated to the cities or the United States. Almost a quarter of rural Mexicans ages 15-24 in 1990 had left by 2000. Throughout 30 years of increasing emigration, the Mexican government also has done little to slow the exodus. Its leading program for small agricultural producers—PROCAMPO—does not target areas of high migration.35 Although the Mexican government is primarily responsible for addressing the country’s rural poverty, the United States can provide critical support for programs that address migration pressures at their source. Because of its potential for long-term impact, such a strategy requires commensurate, sustained policy attention and resources. Furthermore, by supporting economic development projects with rural Mexican organizations, Mexican government agencies—particularly at the local and regional levels—can be drawn into development projects that reduce migration pressures. A comprehensive, smallholder-based approach to development would by its very nature generate rural employment. Without support for Mexico’s small and medium farmers, the country’s rural economy will continue to be increasingly Small farmers till their land in preparation for planting maize in the poor, migrant-sending Mexican state of Oaxaca. dependent on migration and remittances. While the link between supporting smallholder farmers and poverty reduction is proven, the next logical step with respect to its impact on migration pressures is less recognized.36 The Contemporary Mexican Countryside The village of Avila Camacho, about 200 miles south of El Paso, Texas, is the perfect site for a Hollywood Western (see map on page 7). Along the village’s dirt road a cow grazes in front of abandoned, half-ruined adobe homes. But closer investigation reveals a less cinematic environment. Up the hill from the ruined buildings, about 160 farming families struggle to maintain the small-scale agricultural production—mostly apple orchards—that are the community’s economic mainstay. For decades they’ve been losing Foreign trade and investment increased under NAFTA and the pact helped stabilize Mexico’s economy. But growth has been slow and many analysts state that its benefits are unevenly distributed among the Mexican population. NAFTA’s impact on Mexican agriculture is particularly controversial. While NAFTA accelerated Mexico’s transition to capital-intensive agricultural production and assisted large-scale, mechanized producers, it didn’t generate sufficient rural employment. Mexico lost 2.1 million agricultural jobs between 1991 and 2007. The decline of rural employment and the falling fortunes of small farmers in Mexico was only partly due to NAFTA’s removal of agricultural import barriers and the influx of subsidized U.S. agriculture exports. Also consequential were Mexico’s domestic policies since the early 1980s that decreased government support for small farmers. Nevertheless, NAFTA intensified a process that resulted in increased poverty and migration pressures for millions of small Mexican farmers.5 Bread for the World Institute  5