ARRC Journal 2019 | Page 32

ARRC JOURNAL provide a “direct, single-step link between recognised situation classifications and typical actions, enabling very rapid decisions to be made.” Adams, Tenney and Pew also highlight the importance of schema, in particular for anticipating specific types of information pertinent to a situation, which assists individuals to subconsciously filter out unhelpful information and actively seek out what is important. The author posits that the training frequency for the ARRC staff is too insufficient to expect them to have an adequate bank of scripts and schema from which to deal with the volume of data being presented to them. Threats to SA and Decision Making Threats to good SA, and a correspondingly higher probability of making a poor decision, exist predominantly in the limitations of the human mind and within human-machine interfaces. Arguably the most prevalent threat is attention tunnelling where an individual locks their interaction with specific aspects of the environment and ceases interaction with others. The risk here, then, is ignorance of important information that presents itself. Compelling evidence has shown that presenting growing volumes of information to those in complex systems will increase the risk of this phenomenon, as individuals attempt to identify the same ‘critical cues’ amongst a growing volume of data. Researchers argue that interaction with the environment can be better attended to if spread across all the sensory nodes and not, as an example, just through the visual band. Human capacity is bounded, yet what can be presented to them is theoretically unbounded. An analytical set of information requirements, complimented by well-designed human-machine interfaces, is therefore essential to avoid overmatching the ability of human working memory to attending information presented. Endsley and Jones found that skewed mental models resulted in very poor SA and dangerously poor decisions. Often cited examples are those in aviation where pilots used mental models of the wrong aircraft to process information, resulting in the wrong perception of information, the wrong projection of the future and an inappropriate decision. 24 2012 p.24. 25 Mental models describe an individual’s understanding of a given system, schema describe the framework of pre-conceived ideas of the system used to make sense of new information, and scripts are a sequence of expected events for a given situation which may occur within the system. Schema and scripts are generated through experience of operating within the system. 32 ALLIED RAPID REACTION CORPS In the context of the ARRC, staff must invest greater effort (training) to become knowledgeable on the impressive breadth of multinational capabilities, which could be task-organised to the commander from participating nations, in order to process information within an accurate mental model. User Confidence Linked to threats is uncertainty, which pervades throughout the SA and decision making continuum. Doctrine makes clear that achieving decision superiority comes with risk and commanders should never expect to make decisions based on perfect information, although they must base decisions on some degree of certainty and confidence. McCloskey determined that missing data is arguably the greatest source of uncertainty, although the reliability of data is another notable factor. Research has found that military commanders request more data before making decisions if the means to do so is available, often to the detriment of timeliness. United Kingdom doctrine graphically represents this and describes the notion as ‘decision superiority’, which is essential in order for the commander to seize and hold the initiative. It can be argued that the introduction of more technology, with more ISR feeds, may not increase tempo; the author’s experiences in Iraq and Afghanistan reinforce this view. Conclusions Researchers are in agreement that SA is an individual cognitive process and product, which cannot be generated or replicated by technology. Moreover, SSA is accepted as the shared understanding of the subset of information necessary for each individual’s task(s) within the team and is not the sum of individual SA. This SSA is, therefore, unlikely to be achieved across a large organisation, such as the ARRC, and will be limited to smaller groups, such as the ARRC’s individual branches. Consideration should also be given to codifying Endsley’s model in applicable doctrine or selecting an alternative in order to better portray how SA is linked to decision making. Additionally, as part of our relentless pursuit of improved SA and decision- making, we should examine the balance of investment between technologies and training; evidence exists that suggests greater investment in, and frequency of, training would deliver more benefits. ABOUT THE AUTHOR Major Guy Cheesman currently serves as the ARRC’s Engineer Plans officer. In his previous assignment he commanded the 61st Field Support Squadron Royal Engineers, 36th Engineer Regiment at Rock Barracks in Woodbridge, England. Maj. Cheesman has deployed on a variety of operations in Sierra Leone, Iraq, Afghanistan and Cyprus and he holds a Master’s Degree in Battlefield Technology from Cranfield University. Figure 2 – Risk Appetite and Information Superiority 26 Human Factors Journal 1995 p.88. 27 Endsley & Jones 2012 p.33. 28 Rafferty, Stanton & Walker, Safety Science 2013 p.64. 29 2012 p.39-40. 30 UK MoD 2013, para 315. 31 1996 pp.195-196. 32 Lalbakhsh, Sohrabi and Fesharaki 2009, Robertson 2014. 33 Kott 2008, Bates 2010 p.8. 34 Troop Commander 26 Engr Regt on Op TELIC 6, BGE/ IO for 1 PWRR BG on Op TELIC 8, Senior Watch Officer (SWO) for I and II Marine Expeditionary Force, United States Marine Corps, Regional Command (South West) Nov 11 - May 12.