2014 National Convening Skills Presenations Portland Plan | Page 52

THE PORTLAND PLAN Portland Today Trade and growth opportunities: In 2008, Portland ranked 12th among U.S. metropolitan areas for total exports, which is a high ranking for Portland’s size and relatively small regional consumer base. Among the export and other traded sector industries, Portland’s four “target business clusters” provided 52,000 jobs in the city in 2008. Urban innovation to grow local firms: Portland’s land use, transportation and green development innovations and the local businesses that design, manufacture and implement them have attracted national recognition. Portland is consistently recognized as an innovative urban laboratory. This has strategically positioned the city for key growth opportunities in the expanding green economy and technology industries. Trade hub and freight mobility: Portland is the West Coast’s fourth largest freight gateway for international trade, and regional freight tonnage is forecast to double between 2005 and 2035 at an average annual growth rate of 2.2 percent. Lagging job growth: Regional and local job growth has not been fast enough to bring down Multnomah County unemployment rates, which significantly exceeded the national average over much of the last decade. In 2008, Portland had 38 percent of the Portland-Vancouver region’s jobs, but much of the new job growth was outside the city. The city created only 5 percent of regional job growth between 2000–2008. Lack of education and job training: Over 50 percent of unemployed people in the region lack basic skills in reading and/or math — a major barrier to obtaining living-wage employment. Jobs requiring some advanced training and less than a four-year degree will likely account for the largest unmet need for education and training. Lack of neighborhood business vitality: In recent years, many of Portland’s 23 neighborhood market areas lost jobs. Commercial vitality is widely uneven among neighborhood business districts as shown by retail sales capture rates, which range from 220 to 12 percent of neighborhood market potential. Many neighborhood business districts have the potential to capture more local sales. Increased cost of living: Average earnings in Multnomah County have not kept up with the rising costs of housing and living over the last decade. This shrinking value of paychecks is particularly burdening low- and middle-income workers. Cost-burdened households: Nearly a quarter of renter households in Portland are cost burdened, spending 50 percent or more of their income on housing and transportation expenses. There are also many cost burdened homeowners. Metro 2030 forecasts predict a steep increase in the number of c ost burdened households (renters and owners) for the region. Household economic insecurity: Only 77 percent of Multnomah County households were estimated to be economically self-sufficient in 2005–07 (before the recent recession). The other 23 percent were not earning enough to cover costs for basic needs at local prices. Energy and resource resilience: Climate change, rising and uncertain gasoline prices and supplies, earthquakes and other environmental and future risks affect the costs of living and doing business. Recent examples of rising costs due to mitigating environmental and other risks include the Big Pipe stormwater project, water system risks, energy infrastructure vulnerabilities, and the Portland Harbor Superfund Site. 46 April 2012 | www.pdxplan.com